See how forecasts held up
Pick a target year and watch the FOMC's median projection move across every Summary of Economic Projections, set against what happened.
Open the Forecast Scorecard →A page can tell you that inflation erodes what a saving is worth, or it can take the amount you actually hold, the period you have held it, and the rate you are earning, and work out what that comes to once inflation is taken into account. The second kind of answer is what a calculator gives you: figures go in, either your own or ones drawn from a published series, and the working runs in front of you.
Seeing each step means you can follow it against your own numbers. A projection that moved between two publication dates, a yield curve that stayed inverted for some stretch, a balance that lost ground to inflation: each of these is a calculation built from labelled inputs.
Every figure a calculator uses is drawn from a named public source and carries the date it applies to, so the arithmetic can be checked against the original record. That does not guarantee the answer is the one you were expecting: a calculator built from published data can still return a wrong or misleading figure if an input is mistyped, a series has moved on, or a rate has since been revised. Anything typed into one of these tools stays in the browser it was typed into; it is not sent to or stored anywhere by this site. The method behind the figures, and what happens when one is disputed or out of date, is set out on How This Site Handles Figures.
Each tool is built from public source data and shows its working; check the inputs and dates before relying on what it gives back.
Pick a target year and watch the FOMC's median projection move across every Summary of Economic Projections, set against what happened.
Open the Forecast Scorecard →Enter an amount, a period and a rate; the calculator shows what it is worth after two measures of inflation, CPI and PCE.
Read how the calculator works →See the current Treasury yield curve, the 10-year to 2-year and 10-year to 3-month spreads, and every past inversion with its length.
Read how the data is sourced →